The most powerful predictors of overall dropout risk among 9th graders were failing either reading or math TAKS tests, attendance below 90%, and being 16 years or older at the start of the school year.
Patterns of course credit attainment for 2009-2010 AISD high school students are discussed. Among those most likely not to be on track to graduate in 4 years were English language learners and students in special education.
Question: What were the strongest 8th-grade predictors of dropout among students who would have been members of the graduating class of 2009?
The most powerful predictors of overall student dropout risk were having an 8th-grade attendance rate of less than 90% and failing both the 8th-grade reading and math TAKS tests.